Day Trading is Okay

In recent times there has been much hype and discussion over Collingwood’s rise to the pinnacle heights of the A-league, and the resounding success he has attained in his first season there.  The discussion has revolved around day trading, and whether it is a moral way to get to the top.  I believe it is.

Day trading isn't really that bad.  I engage in day trading to a small degree, but I believe it is necessary.  It is necessary to catch the first teams such as AC New Age and DA.  DA might be against it, but he started with a decent team compared to Collingwood’s original team, or all others who started in div 5 or 6.  I believe it is absolutely pivotal to day trade, if you ever want to be a prominent team in the A-league, a team that actually wins something.  

Kuumonica and GTU don't day trade, and that is part of the reason why they are not achieving top 5 finishes every year.  To truly be a great club, you need to day trade - simply, that is the only way to catch up to those who started with great teams, and still have superb teams. 
 
It is possible to have one good season in the A-league, but that would be due much to luck, to achieve constant top 5 performances, day trading is a must, to build your team to a standard that is capable of delivering success like Collingwood is doing at the moment.

DA did say that it is a way of exposing young inexperienced managers, and gaining from their lack of knowledge, but doesn't every one do that when they sell even one player? If you look at it the other way, we were all inexperienced once and have all made a few bad trades, so now the circle of life turns, rewarding us for our persistent.

 Another reason that day trading is okay to do, is that all great, I mean truly great teams use day trading.  Bohrs and Crimson use day trading in huge amounts, and if you ever want to reach those lofty heights it is vital to day trade.

Collingwood may falter this season, and might not even get a top 10 finish.  However, he is on the way to building a A-League winning team, and without day trading, this would not be possible.  Day trading is required in order to catch up to the big guns, whether it is moral, or respectable, it is necessary.

Written by Vincent (Narre Warren North Skill)


What has Collingwood done right?

There are many ways to make it to the top of the A-league, and Collingwood have done it nicely, promoting each season except one.  He now sits atop the A-league ladder, a prestigious position that few have held and are likely to hold.  He has broken the traditional giants in AU, DA and AC New Age for the moment and looks to continue his run.  So what has he done right, and what have other managers done wrong?

 

The path Collingwood has taken has been a mix of youth and transfers, which has helped lead him to the top.  He has developed a keen eye for talent and bargains on the transfer market, and during his time as manager, he has sold over 2.7 billion worth of players.  His squad ASI now reaches over 250,000, another milestone many will fail to reach.  This has been done through feverish trading of players, and luck.  Many may argue that it is not the right way to go, as this is a football management game, but it certainly gets results if done well.  Another vital key to his success is luck – the only thing that is out of humans control.  He has sold players for huge profits and got superb youths thanks to a lot of luck.  Many striving managers should follow his example in order to get to the top, in trading huge amounts, and being lucky.

 

Now we will look at the other side of the table and sitting sorry in 12th, just above the relegation zone is Kuumonica.  He did manger to promote consecutively to the A-league, but has done little to improve his team and luck played a large role in his sprint up the divisions.  Now that the luck has run out, he is struggling, with an ageing squad and lack of youth, relegation seems a likely prospect.  Why has he found himself in this precarious situation?  He has traded little on the transfer market, selling just under 200 million worth of players, a dwindling number compared to Collingwood’s 2.7 billion.  When he has bought players, he ahs failed to invest in the future as Collingwood has done, Kuumonica’s last two buys being a 32 yr old and 31 yr old.  He failed to take the YA/TG approach either and now it is too little too late, as there are some bright stars coming through, such as Zic, but not enough to stem the damage from the aging players.  His squad ASI sits just over 150,000, a number which is too small for the A-league, and his lack of transfers or planning is starting to catch up.

 

The third side of the coin is Harry Cool.  Sitting sweet in 2nd, Harry has taken the last path available, going straight to 10 TG/YD and hoping for the best.  It is a risky approach, and requires a multitude of luck(as does everything) but Harry has pulled it off, and is reaping the awards.  With a squad ASI over 700,000 he has taken the longer and bumpier road to reap the rewards.  He is only now starting to get active on the transfer market, and may likely dominate the A-league in years to come. 

 

Lastly, Alcoholic’s United are also down the lower positions of the league.  Alco has recently started to invest in youth, a far cry from his quick fixes of ageing players.  He is starting to prepare for the future, and will go close to being one of the best in the future as luck has been against him so far, arguably being one of the biggest under achievers in Australian TM history.

 

In conclusion, it’s a great achievement to make it to the A-league, but if you want to succeed there are a few steps you need to take.  Whether it be a mix of youth and huge transfers(Collingwood) this is sure to build your squad but will take to time to learn the market.  You can buying ageing players as quick fixes(Kuumoinca) and then struggle to really shine once in the A-league.  Or, you can take the bumpy and risky road, going down the youth development(Harry Cool) road – one that relies on luck more then anything else.  What ever road you take, if luck is against you(Alcoholics United) it will be impossible to succeed, but continue to prepare for the future and you will do okay.

Written by Vincent (Narre Warren North Skill)
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Who will be our next NT coach?

The NT elections are currently running and I will go through a little profile of each MAIN nomination before predicting.

Guards: The current NT coach, who has unselfishly martyred his own reign as NT coach for the future of the Australian team, or at least a popular opinion held by the majority of voters. Goff has had to wade through a knee deep river attacks on his youth policy and player selection, including one by Collingwood who thinks his OMC is the best in the country, which is quite similar to how I thought my FC was the best in the country(something I greatly regret now, and apologies to all parties involved for my youth and inexperience at that time) Goff had definitely answered voters questions well with a touch of experience and knowledge mixed with his argumentative stance. He has done well convincing many of his goals, aims and current knowledge of the situation. A definite prospect that appeals to all lower league managers.

DA: The old heavyweight who once against returns into the public eye. A former NT coach who has returned with a vengeance in order to improve his NT record. There is a question over his activity on the game though, taking days to answer questions and apparently was starting to lose interest in the game. There is an excuse for his current absence and that is a real life emergency – definitely a legitimate excuse. However questions still hang over his long term commitment and activity on the game. He has been somewhat reserved in his answers but has the knowledge and experience to be NT manager. Languishing at the foot of the table, one can wonder whether he is up to challenge but we will see if his team position improves over the next few days. The biggest challenge to Guards who will get many votes from those who have heard his name a couple of times in the past, but will really need to turn up the heat to make a serious challenge.

Zedarba: A division two team who previously was in the A-League, who now wants to coach the NT team. AT the start of the election it seemed like he had little to no chance but is emerging as a dark horse in a wealth of planning and thought. Zedarbra has now answered the questions best through great preparation along with inspired searches that have brought up unknown players. His professionalism is undoubted, however his record shows gaps. A drop from the A-league makes people wonder whether he is up to coaching the Australian team, let alone his own. A dark horse that will gain votes from those smart enough to read his responses and realise his knowledge. He will lose many votes though from simply being in division 2, which will hurt his chances.

Chemango: At second on the A-league table, he seems a definite chance for NT manager. However, poor responses have hurt this manger in his casual style of MSN writing. He will pick up votes from those just looking at the table, but will lose votes from those that care about the NT team. HE has little preparation or research, but a little support group from Perth. Don’t expect too much.

Prediction:
Guards will take the reigns for another year boosted by support of lower division clubs. He does deserve another chance to finish the job, but will he lead the NT team to glory, or will his strategy fail?

Written by Vincent (Narre Warren North Skill)
Edited by Simon (wacagrund)

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How has Guards FC done at the top???

How has Guards gone as NT manager in his time as that top? Lets see...

Alcoholics United left the Australian team in a very good position at number 2 in the official NT rankings, which is a tough act to follow. Officially, Guards has improved the Aussie position, doing nicely and putting the Aussies up to Numero Uno – the top of TM. For this impeccable result, Guards is to be congratulated, as being top of all the nations is no easy task, and Guards has achieved it officially.

However, unofficially it is a different story. From memory, at the end of Aaron’s tenor as National Coach, Australia were in the top 10, and surging up the rankings. Now, as Guards time comes to an end, Australia are just in the top 20, a disappointing result that may have something to do with experimenting with players in friendlies – something that is encouraged in order to perform well officially. There is also another twist on this though, as Aaron(Alcoholics United) left the NT team filled with experience and ageing players – In Goff’s(Guards) eyes, something had to be done quickly, and maybe so?

Australia made the quarter finals of the Asian cup, a poor result seeing we are ranked so highly in the World at 1st officially. Aaron managed to take Australia to a bronze, and in this Asian cup Australia just scraped through both qualifying and the group stage – a very poor result. A loss to Bangladesh was a bad loss, who are ranked 20 officially, but went on to get silver.

The reason Australia lost is because of poor selection, based towards youth, which has been partly successful, but failed to help Australia at all in the big matches. I stressed the importance of routine and experience earlier in the season but my worries fell on death ears. Many of the players looked ready, but were simply not ready due to their lack of experience, their skills were good, but their ability to perform wasn’t, and that is what let Australia down.

In the final loss to Bangladesh, 3 players got a rating of 4, the lowest rating for the Australians. Unsurprisingly, all of these were 21 year olds with little routine or experience. They were in the key positions of FC, FC and DC. Their names are Rose, Kenelly and Giles. Maybe if Goff hadn’t of played these three players, Australia would have another trophy in it’s cabinet right now. Of course, they may have played well in other games – but, no sadly, they haven’t. The two FC’s have played 3 and 4 games for Australia, with an average rating of 4.25 and 4.67 and No goals or Assists. The DC, Rose, has played 5 games with an average rating of 4.20. The rest of the team had to carry these three young inexperienced players who were clearly not ready for the National Team, and should not have played!

But! Don’t worry as they gained much needed routine and helped prepare for the future of the National team. Giles gained 2 routine, and the other just over 1 each. Theoretically, its trading a Asian cup trophy for 4 routine, which is bound to make all the difference in the future for the National team.

Overall, Goff did an okay job managing the NT team; he improved out official ranking, hurt our unofficial national team ranking and wasted another chance at getting Asian Cup glory. Maybe he should have waked up, and realised the potential Australia had without playing some of the youth players he did?

Written byVincent (Narre Warren North)
Edited by Simon (wacagrund)

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